You will often hear poker players use the term "variance" and "luck" to explain outcomes. In poker these two words signify important aspects. When you sit down at the tables, you sign up to achieve a certain distribution of outcomes. Your win or loss is akin a random draw from that distribution. "Variance" is a statistical computation on the (theoretical) distribution of outcomes, while "luck" is the draw from that distribution that is realised. This distribution can be influenced by a number of variables such as the structure of the game, your opponents" strategy and skill, and your own. Even though I had studied intensely for days I still hadn’t covered the basics of heads-up play, let alone started thinking about this.

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